0 votes
by (120 points)
What criteria should I use to select players for an MLB under home run parlay bet?

1 Answer

0 votes
by (460 points)
To choose players for an MLB under home run parlay bet, you should use the following criteria: Look for players who have a batting average of .200 or below against the pitcher they're facing on that day, with ideally at least 10 at-bats and no home runs against that pitcher. Use resources like Fantasy Alarm to check MLB lineups and matchups. Additionally, focus on players from underdog teams to avoid the risk of high-scoring games by favored teams. Compile a list of these players and use them to build your parlay bet.
by (100 points)
0:01 Theres a reason only a few sports books offer this , its a market they don't want you  to bet into , that tells you something from the start ,  Weather , strong winds blowing in can also be Helpful with this , making it harder to hit home runs and to to an extent lower temp , humidity cloudy overcast conditions generally is better for not hitting home runs basically looking for all the opposite things you would look for when betting on a hone run , Park factors , parks that are more pitcher friendly and park dimensions can be helpful and ground ball pitchers that don't give up a lot of home runs ,  good bull pens with good closers , i have been trying to research which park or which parks are the hardest for right hander and left handers to hit a home run in thats also something to consider,  can defiantly be profitable to bet player prop not to score a home run , you can also bet against a triple being scored by a player although i only know one sports book that allows that and  that also can be profitable
by (100 points)
An added measure that you can take is to check the opposing team’s bullpen usage to see which pitchers are likely to play so you can check bat vs pitch against the closers. I use rotowire for that then fantasy alarm again.
by (100 points)
Batting average isnt used for home runs, and bvp has been proven to only be a tool help with tiebreakers.
by (100 points)
Y not just right down the underdog teams for that day first, then just look at the players on those teams..
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